As an outsider, I can feel your pain. It's very easy to get on the coaching carousel, hard to get off. We fired our winningest coach (RC), but then flubbed his replacement, even though he had a good resume. There is no such thing as a sure bet. Fran was a disaster for us. All programs suffer from this, even 'Bama. Florida had Ron Zook, but got lucky with Urban. Due to poor choices, A&M exited the B12 with a losing record, having done next to nothing from 2000-2011. Always remember, in order for your team to get better, the other guy has to lose. It's not a zero sum game. So you either wait for your competition to wane or you outplay them, or both. The scary part is that Saban could go another 10 years.