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Topic: Predictions for your team in 2026

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Cincydawg

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #42 on: August 19, 2026, 06:38:19 PM »
A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"?  Maybe not.  Does it mean Texas is elite?  Maybe.  We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #43 on: August 20, 2026, 09:04:20 AM »
Remember when LSU @ Clemson to start last year was a Top Ten showdown?  lolz

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #44 on: August 20, 2026, 01:02:18 PM »
A Texas win say 28-17 sounds very plausible, but does it mean OSU is not "elite"?  Maybe not.  Does it mean Texas is elite?  Maybe.  We learn something from every game if we're lucky, but "we" also tend to ..... react overly.

It wouldn't mean much of anything.  It's a single data point unconnected to any other data points when it occurs.

It wouldn't change my opinion of OSU in the least, or Texas either.  If the score was reversed, same thing.  I'd be inclined to start assigning the Buckeyes some "we backed it up" points for winning on the road.  

Now, if either team wins 56-0, that probably moves my needle, even if it is just a single data point.  In Bayesian analysis, data carries varying weight, and I'd probably weight that heavier.  

A 28-17 affair?  Meh.  I'd think of them almost exactly how I already thought of them until a few year tough games went by.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #45 on: August 21, 2026, 09:15:22 AM »
We've all seen 28-17 games where the winner really looked much better, and others where it was really the bounce of the ball a couple times, and maybe a few where the 17 looked better.

I say we all should over react though ....

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #46 on: August 21, 2026, 09:19:56 AM »
I'd think of them almost exactly how I already thought of them until a few year tough games went by. 


I should really stop trying to cram posting into times I'm busy with other stuff. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #47 on: August 22, 2026, 06:59:51 PM »
I've learned to ignore "news from fall camp".  Maybe there is some, some key player is dinged up, but in general, it seems ... useless to me.  The Dawgs start with two pastries, and little will be gleaned from that as well.  Fans will gate on Mike Bobo (OC) as usual for not scoring 70.  Oddly enough, his son is the starting center, and apparently quite good.

Anyway, CFB seasons come down to 3-4-5 key games for he better teams, and those outcomes can be ... fluid.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #48 on: August 22, 2026, 08:24:47 PM »
I'd like to file a complaint against cincydawg for deleting posts about censorship.  People should know what he's doing.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #49 on: August 23, 2026, 10:43:26 AM »
I'd guess "people" do know what he's doing, but it's just a guess.

Mr Tulip

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #50 on: Today at 09:09:31 AM »
When last season started, Texas had an OL that was put together from spare parts (reasons why are, well, complicated and subject to interpretation). We were told, "it'll probably work! They're really showing promise!" and other things in fall camp. Of course, that was after the big news of, "The guy were were counting on to play right tackle just blew out his knee".

Of course, when someone who didn't care if our QB died or not attacked the OL, whomever was at Right Guard took it upon themselves to immediately jump sideways into the Center like that was the plan. Multiple players, same result. Took like 5 games for this to stop happening. Meanwhile, the Heisman QB was still a 1st year starter who fired fastballs into the ground. Can't teach experience in fall camp.

So this year, I'm still eyeballing the OL. I can tell you reasons why it should be better, but until an angry defense tries to break it, it's all just theory. Without it, all of Texas' shiny offensive toys are useless.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Predictions for your team in 2026
« Reply #51 on: Today at 09:43:54 AM »
Meanwhile, the Heisman QB was still a 1st year starter who fired fastballs into the ground. Can't teach experience in fall camp.

Did anything ever come out about Arch being injured last year?  I had a strong suspicion last year, and a couple of physical therapists I know mentioned their suspicion as well.

I suspected Nussmeier was injured also, and we were belligerently tight lipped about it last year.  Until after the season when he admitted that yes, he had dealt with what trainers called an oblique injury all year.  I mention that only to say that my suspicion about Nuss was correct, and I'm still suspicious about Arch.  

Side note:  it was just revealed that Nuss' NFL team has diagnosed him with a cyst on his spine, pressing into his spinal cord, and that was the source of his pain last year, not a mysterious oblique injury.  The LSU staff completely missed it, but the Chiefs identified it and are proceeding with treatment (surgery, I assume?).  I don't have any more details than that, but that seems like a big, BIG miss by the LSU medical staff.  Proper imaging should have revealed that.  I felt bad enough for a kid who patiently waited in this day and age, not transferring out when LSU brought in Jayden Daniels for two years, who took his lumps in 2024 but became the only 4,000+ yd passer in LSU history besides Joe Burrow, with 29 TDs, but then dealt with severe abdominal pain in his second year starting, having been projected as a potential first round pick and a Heisman contender starting out.  Instead, he passed for only 1900+ yards and 12 TDs, with 5 INTs, and looked like a shell of his former self, and dropped all the way to the 7th round, barely getting drafted.  But it sounds like LSU misdiagnosed the issue.  If so, that's......not great, Bob.  

 

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