Wolves vs 'Dawgs Thread

[um1963]

The game was over before Michigan's first turnover.  I would argue that it was over when Michigan decided to go for it on forth down on their first possession of the game losing 7-0.  It was confirmed that it was over when they didn't execute the forth down and Georgia promptly scored to make it 14-0.

There is no harm in acknowledging that Georgia was more determined and motivated.  Acknowledging that doesn't take away from their stellar performance.  It may have been the best single game performance by any team this year.  No one, including Bama, would have beaten Georgia that night.

[FearlessF]

why Georgia is favored so far in the rematch

[Cincydawg]

Betters bet evenly and the House wind

[Cincydawg]

I think of a 4th down fail as eq to a TO

[OrangeAfroMan]

why Georgia is favored so far in the rematch

Because Vegas is smart enough not to value 1 data point over 12.

[Cincydawg]

Vegas would adjust the line if betting strayed from even.  The betters set the line after the initial figure.  I would favor Bama until the Dawgs actually win a few.

[MrNubbz]

Well the Tide got a win in their rematch with LSU,so hopefully the Dawgs return the favor

[medinabuckeye1]

Because Vegas is smart enough not to value 1 data point over 12.

Exactly!  Georgia is a better team as evidenced by the two teams' entire schedules.  In the first game Bama had a better gameplan and played a better game and won.  Can Saban do that again?  

In their games against common opponents:
Florida:

• Bama won by 2 on the road
• UGA won by 27 at a neutral site

Auburn:

• Bama won in OT on the road
• UGA won by 24 on the road

Arkansas:

• Bama won by 7 at home
• UGA won by 37 at home

Tennessee:

• Bama won by 28 at home
• UGA won by 24 on the road

The only one that is close is the Tennessee games where Bama did slightly better but that is within the margin of HFA.  In the other three the Dawgs did vastly better.  

[FearlessF]

Vegas would adjust the line if betting strayed from even.  The betters set the line after the initial figure.  I would favor Bama until the Dawgs actually win a few.

perhaps I heard wrong, but even with the line moving, there was much more money on Bama than Cincy
Perhaps Vegas lost a few bucks, perhaps not

[TyphonInc]

It did/does feel like an excuse but you don't need a team to be sick to explain an unexpected result. Teams DO have good and bad games.

I think, to Michigan's credit, that they simply played a REALLY good game on November 27th.

They hadn't beaten their rival in a decade and only once in 20 years and they played an impressive game.

This. TTUN played a hell of a game, Congrats to them on beating their rival and winning the B1G.

[MrNubbz]

IF GA. can put the CCG behind them and just proceed as last Saturday or before Tide and harrass Bryce Young I like their chances

[TyphonInc]

Wait, you're criticizing watching a game that guarantees a result and then talking about it?  That's an entire industry, boss.

Yes, with a different outcome, the narrative/discussion about it would be different.  No shit.  I guess no talking heads should have jobs.  I guess this board shouldn't exist.

After a game is played, SHHHH!  Don't discuss it.

Georgia's win was an unexpected blowout.  The "narrative" as you deride it tries to explain the unexpected outcome.  What's wrong with that? 

You. You are the only thing wrong with this thread (board.)

[bayareabadger]

why Georgia is favored so far in the rematch

It’s just computer rankings. The answer to almost any question about lines is computer rankings

[MikeDeTiger]

Well the Tide got a win in their rematch with LSU,so hopefully the Dawgs return the favor

Still too soon.