Yeah, once you reopen, it starts back again, area under the curve. We did delay it, we kept the hospitals from being overrun, for now. Could we shut down again and delay it until a vaccine is available? Of course, but the economic impact ....
And yes, I have a thing for Cost:Benefit analyses.
The wife and I are going in for elective surgery (outpatient) in a week or so.
I think a vaccine should knock R naught far enough under unity to get this thing pushed back, but that is months off.