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Topic: Rich get richer

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FearlessF

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #392 on: September 15, 2023, 11:16:35 AM »


I have to ask about 1985 (if it was something other than a bowl invite accepted too soon) - why didn't 1 and 2 play each other, as both were independents (1 PSU, 2 Miami)?  Did every bowl of consequence have a conference tie-in?  As it stood, they both lost and OU got their ring.
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #393 on: September 15, 2023, 11:56:13 AM »
I was in middle school
Damn kid.  

MaximumSam

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #394 on: September 15, 2023, 12:20:11 PM »

Quote
You keep wanting guarantees but my argument here is that the lack of guarantees is part of what made the CFB Regular season so intense and so compelling.  There was always a chance in any given week that Ohio State could lose an NC on a bad afternoon in Bloomington or at home against MSU (1998).  
Yes, the regular season was compelling and fun. This is a fact. It also was somewhat meaningless. Notre Dame didn't win a national championship in 1993 despite beating champ Florida State. Penn State didn't win a national championship despite going undefeated in 1994. The reason the BCS was created and then the playoffs was because the bowl system was a completely idiotic way to crown a national champion. All of these things are going to have tradeoffs, the issue is what we are trading off.


On that end, the lack of certainty is what made it all feel unfair and somewhat rigged. That it didn't really matter what the results of games were, as opposed to the "eye test," which further favored the teams that already had all the advantages. I guess there is a matter of personal preference - gymnasts and divers are "judged" because you can't really win it as a competition any other way. The NFL (and any other sport) could adopt a system like college football's where a committee just invites the teams they think deserve to be in the playoffs. If they did, I imagine they would use market size as a tiebreaker.


Quote
The issue for the non-helmet fans is a much bigger problem.  You ( @MaximumSam ) keep telling them that they should love this, they have a guaranteed path!  You haven't convinced them.


We will have to agree to disagree about that. Middle aged men wishing things were how they used to be is not the best test to what the fans want. I'd say nearly every fan everywhere would want an easier path to the playoff as opposed to a harder one for their particular team. In general, my theory is that:


  •  Fans lose interest when there is no realistic chance for their team to participate
  • Fans lose interest when the results of games have little meaning


So Agenda 1 and 2 should be to make sure the games have meaning and more teams have a realistic chance to participate. Sure, big upsets were more compelling if they knocked a team out of the race, but these upsets are still compelling because upsets are naturally compelling. If it doesn't lead to actual chances for other teams, then it doesn't matter anyway.

Cincydawg

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #395 on: September 15, 2023, 12:25:01 PM »
We sort of think we know who the monster programs will be in say 2033, but maybe we don't.  Probably we don't completely.  How much has that landscape changed in a decade of the past?  We all remember the Nebraska/FSU/Miami runs in the 90s.  Florida had a run and then faded mostly.  Maybe Clemson is fading?  UGA looks great, for now, but they too might drop to so so in a decade.  Bama?  One coach away.  Texas?  I think coming back.  Some of the major majors appear equipped to sustain as Ohio State has mostly done.  Some may not.  Will they drop down for good or bounce up and down?  I don't know.


ELA

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #396 on: September 15, 2023, 12:37:13 PM »
Damn kid. 
About to turn 40, so I'll take it

Cincydawg

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #397 on: September 15, 2023, 12:49:45 PM »
You're getting old when you think 40 us young.

~???

Cincydawg

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #398 on: September 15, 2023, 02:25:04 PM »

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #399 on: September 15, 2023, 02:41:39 PM »
We will have to agree to disagree about that. Middle aged men wishing things were how they used to be is not the best test to what the fans want. I'd say nearly every fan everywhere would want an easier path to the playoff as opposed to a harder one for their particular team. In general, my theory is that:


  • Fans lose interest when there is no realistic chance for their team to participate
  • Fans lose interest when the results of games have little meaning


So Agenda 1 and 2 should be to make sure the games have meaning and more teams have a realistic chance to participate. Sure, big upsets were more compelling if they knocked a team out of the race, but these upsets are still compelling because upsets are naturally compelling. If it doesn't lead to actual chances for other teams, then it doesn't matter anyway.

The previous college football postseason was a poor method for crowning a champion, I'll grant you that. 

But it was a great postseason for all but those top 15 programs in the country who cared about being the champion. 

Purdue fans wanted to make a bowl. ANY bowl. Even that stupid one in Detroit. If you make a bowl, you're going to have a destination for your season. Typically, you'll be matched up against a team of relatively equal strength, so more often than not you're going to have an exciting game and maybe come out with a win. 

With 35-40 bowls, that means there were 35-40 teams finishing the postseason with a win and a smile. 

With the playoff, there is only ONE goal. To be the champion. And only ONE team is going to win it. And it will NEVER, EVER, EVER, be my team. 

With an 18-team conference, CCG that becomes "top two teams" instead of division winners, and the transfer portal / NIL world, I'd argue that a 12-team playoff does NOT give my team a realistic chance at participation. So Agenda 1 is dead. Maybe if all the stars align, once every 20 years? And then on that OFF chance that we make it once a generation, it's just a matter of how long we can survive until getting curb-stomped by a team whose third-string redshirts are more talented than our starters. Because the road to the final is such an arduous gauntlet that a team that isn't full of STARZ will have zero shot. 

So you want our games to have meaning? What meaning is there in having to have a generationally successful team to even sniff the postseason, while knowing that getting to the playoff doesn't get you any realistic chance of winning the thing?

Bowl games were maybe meaningless. But they were fun. For a team like Purdue, the CFP doesn't sound like fun at all. 

Gigem

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #400 on: September 15, 2023, 02:46:37 PM »
We started NFL'ing the CFB in the 80's and 90's with million dollar coaches.  

ELA

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #401 on: September 15, 2023, 02:53:32 PM »
The previous college football postseason was a poor method for crowning a champion, I'll grant you that.

But it was a great postseason for all but those top 15 programs in the country who cared about being the champion.

Purdue fans wanted to make a bowl. ANY bowl. Even that stupid one in Detroit. If you make a bowl, you're going to have a destination for your season. Typically, you'll be matched up against a team of relatively equal strength, so more often than not you're going to have an exciting game and maybe come out with a win.

With 35-40 bowls, that means there were 35-40 teams finishing the postseason with a win and a smile.

With the playoff, there is only ONE goal. To be the champion. And only ONE team is going to win it. And it will NEVER, EVER, EVER, be my team.

With an 18-team conference, CCG that becomes "top two teams" instead of division winners, and the transfer portal / NIL world, I'd argue that a 12-team playoff does NOT give my team a realistic chance at participation. So Agenda 1 is dead. Maybe if all the stars align, once every 20 years? And then on that OFF chance that we make it once a generation, it's just a matter of how long we can survive until getting curb-stomped by a team whose third-string redshirts are more talented than our starters. Because the road to the final is such an arduous gauntlet that a team that isn't full of STARZ will have zero shot.

So you want our games to have meaning? What meaning is there in having to have a generationally successful team to even sniff the postseason, while knowing that getting to the playoff doesn't get you any realistic chance of winning the thing?

Bowl games were maybe meaningless. But they were fun. For a team like Purdue, the CFP doesn't sound like fun at all.
Agree with all of this.

I've said before, college football has always been super top heavy.  The only counter balance is that one team might catch every break in a year, like a 5th down, while the best team in the country might be unfocused on a random rainy October Saturday in Columbia, Missouri.  Giving teams more chances to absorb losses and redeem themselves certainly gives us a truer champion.  Hell, I'd have a hard time arguing the best team ever DIDN'T win the NC in the CFP era.  But is that worth ruining the regular season over?  I don't think so.  I never particularly cared who won the NC.  I just loved the fun of it.  Even when a team sneaks up into the top now, it's not all that meaningful, because they will get got in the CCG, or the semi, or the championship game.  I think MSU got up to #2 after they beat Michigan in 2021 to get to like 8-0?  I never had any thought they were winning a national championship.  And when Purdue upset them the next week, it wasn't all that crushing, because we needed to win 3 more fluke games to win a title anyway.  In 2003, that would have been a MASSIVE blow.  A game against OSU is all that would have stood between MSU and a championship game.

That was similar to BC upsetting Notre Dame in 1993.  Except that actually mattered

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #402 on: September 15, 2023, 03:14:51 PM »
Yes, the regular season was compelling and fun. This is a fact. It also was somewhat meaningless. 
It was compelling and fun because you didn't KNOW at the time which losses would be fatal to NC aspirations and which would be survivable.  
Notre Dame didn't win a national championship in 1993 despite beating champ Florida State. 
That FSU@ND game was the first time ESPN went on the road in what became their College Gameday program.  You are correct, of course, that FSU ended up winning the NC despite losing in South Bend but there are multiple things that I think you are overlooking here:
  • I don't automatically agree that FSU winning the NC was the wrong result.  Sure, they lost to ND but ND's loss to BC was MUCH worse.  FSU's loss to ND was a close road loss to a top-echelon team.  ND's loss to BC was nothing of the kind.  
  • The atmosphere for that ND/FSU game was intense or as you put it, compelling and fun because nobody KNEW that FSU could lose and recover.  Once FSU lost they lost control of their own destiny and needed a monumental upset of ND by BC to get back into the race.  
  • The fact that FSU needed ND to lose to BC is why not just the FSU/ND game but also every other regular season game played by the contenders that year had an intensity that we just don't have for regular season games anymore*
*Intensity of regular season games circa 1993:
I remember this one REALLY well because I was a freshman at Ohio State in the fall of 1993 and the Buckeyes were in the thick of the NC race right up until Cooper's annual loss to Michigan.  

The Buckeyes started out at "only" #17 because they had only gone 8-3-1 the previous year, hadn't beaten Michigan since 1987 (Earle Bruce's last year), and hadn't won the conference and been to the Rose Bowl in almost a decade (1984 season).  They started out 8-0 and climbed to #3 before tying the Badgers in Madison to drop to #5.  When the poll came out after the tie with Wisconsin I remember consulting my preseason magazine to check the schedules of the teams ahead of us to mentally determine which games I needed them to lose.  Also, Wisconsin had already lost two weeks earlier to a bad Minnesota team so the Buckeyes still were in the driver's seat as far as the Rose Bowl was concerned.  The top of the poll after the Wisconsin tie:
  • 9-0 FSU:  Still had to play #2 ND and #7 Florida as well as whatever Bowl they got
  • 9-0 Notre Dame:  Still had to play #1 FSU as well as whatever Bowl they got
  • 7-1 Miami:  I figured the Buckeyes would leapfrog them if they kept winning because a loss is worse than a tie, right?
  • 9-0 Nebraska:  Still had to play #17 Oklahoma and whatever bowl they got.  
  • 8-0-1 Ohio State
In my mind it was simple:
  • Florida over FSU
  • FSU over Notre Dame
  • Oklahoma over Nebraska
Ohio State wins out, wins the NC.  

That made ALL of FSU's, Notre Dame's, Miami's, and Nebraska's games compelling to me.  To a somewhat lesser extent the games of teams close behind Ohio State were ALSO compelling to me.  I had a rooting interest in ALL of those regular season games.  

As we become more and more like CBB that is lost.  I've had this discussion with @ELA before and he finds the MEAC Tournament fascinating because it determines which MEAC team goes to the NCAAT but I've never looked at it that way.  To my way of thinking, two crappy teams are going to play in the MEACCG and one of them will win thus snagging an auto-bid to the NCAAT.  Why on earth would I care which crappy MEAC team gets that bid?  

Even when Ohio State has had high-level CBB teams in contention for #1 seeds (ya know, before Chris Holtmann) I never really cared much about how the other high-end teams from other conferences were doing because I don't see it as impacting my team much.  In football there were always less spots so it mattered a LOT to me who won the #1 vs #2 FSU @ Notre Dame game and I REALLY rooted for upsets because I felt like my team needed those upsets to clear a path.  In CBB I just don't feel like I have a reason to care even when UNC and Dook are both top-5 and play each other.  As an Ohio State fan, even if Ohio State is also top-5 and competing with those two for a #1 seed I just don't care.  An upset loss by UNC or Dook in that situation does help tOSU but it isn't the same as say #1 Bama losing a football game because in CFB there is ONLY one #1 seed.  Ohio State can't get it unless Alabama loses so I have an intense interest in rooting for Tennessee or Auburn or whoever to knock off the Tide.  In CBB there are four #1 seeds and somebody has to lose the UNC/Dook game so what difference does it make?  

Playoff expansion is going to make me feel the same way about non-B1G CFB games.  I might watch but I will not have an intense rooting interest in cheering for Tennessee and LSU to take out Bama or whatever.  
The reason the BCS was created and then the playoffs was because the bowl system was a completely idiotic way to crown a national champion. 
You can call it idiotic all you want but the REASON that CFB had the best regular season in sports was BECAUSE of the Polls and Bowls system of crowning a NC.  
All of these things are going to have tradeoffs, the issue is what we are trading off.
Yep.  With a 12-team playoff there will be 11 hyper-intense games because they are single-elimination and thus very high stakes.  All the games before that are just about getting there and all the power-league teams are going to realistically know that they are in at 10-2 or better so they effectively have two mulligans.  The intensity of regular season games is gone.  So you've traded hundreds of intense games for 11.  
On that end, the lack of certainty is what made it all feel unfair and somewhat rigged. That it didn't really matter what the results of games were, as opposed to the "eye test," which further favored the teams that already had all the advantages. 
This statement is, at best, disingenuous.  Game results DID matter.  Sure, some results got overridden.  That HAS to happen because you are going to end up with multiple 1-loss teams.  I remember seeing a ND shirt after the 1989 season that had a convoluted list of results of ND over ___ over ___ over ____ . . . over Miami, thus Notre Dame should be NC.  

The results of the games absolutely did matter just not necessarily in the same way that YOU thought they should have mattered.  I always disagreed with the fact that losing early was better than losing late for example.  Whatever you thought about it, it is completely ridiculous to say "it didn't really matter what the results of the games were".  That suggests that a 3-9 Michigan would have been ranked ahead of a 10-2 Purdue.  That is simply untrue.  Some games mattered more than others and some results had to be plowed under because you always had situations like the Tx/TxTech/OU year in the B12.  Texas beat Oklahoma and Oklahoma beat TxTech and Tech beat Texas.  There is no way to square that circle without making the result of one of those games "not matter".  No matter how you rank them, one of those teams is going to be ranked ahead of a team that they lost to.  
We will have to agree to disagree about that. Middle aged men wishing things were how they used to be is not the best test to what the fans want. I'd say nearly every fan everywhere would want an easier path to the playoff as opposed to a harder one for their particular team. In general, my theory is that:
  • Fans lose interest when there is no realistic chance for their team to participate
  • Fans lose interest when the results of games have little meaning
Funny you should mention this because it is EXACTLY the reason that non-helmet superfans are walking away.  They don't have games that matter anymore.  They don't have obtainable goals that anyone cares about anymore.  

In 2000 Purdue beat Michigan and they were lucky enough that neither tOSU nor PSU were all that good and they ended up going to the Rose Bowl.  That was a meaningful goal, a goal that the "big kids" usually kept to themselves but PU was able to swoop in and grab one.  Now they can't and to the extent that they can nobody cares anymore and to the extent that they do it will only be because it is a CFP quarter-final or whatever and PU will almost always be a prohibitive underdog even if they somehow get there and even if they pull that upset that just gets them a tougher team a week later.  You are trying to sub in "made the playoff" for "made the Rose Bowl" and the Purdue fan has already told you that it just isn't the same thing because the Rose Bowl was a destination not a journey.  The playoff is a journey.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #403 on: September 15, 2023, 03:26:02 PM »
Agree with all of this.

I've said before, college football has always been super top heavy.  The only counter balance is that one team might catch every break in a year, like a 5th down, while the best team in the country might be unfocused on a random rainy October Saturday in Columbia, Missouri.  Giving teams more chances to absorb losses and redeem themselves certainly gives us a truer champion.  Hell, I'd have a hard time arguing the best team ever DIDN'T win the NC in the CFP era.  But is that worth ruining the regular season over?  I don't think so.  I never particularly cared who won the NC.  I just loved the fun of it.  Even when a team sneaks up into the top now, it's not all that meaningful, because they will get got in the CCG, or the semi, or the championship game.  I think MSU got up to #2 after they beat Michigan in 2021 to get to like 8-0?  I never had any thought they were winning a national championship.  And when Purdue upset them the next week, it wasn't all that crushing, because we needed to win 3 more fluke games to win a title anyway.  In 2003, that would have been a MASSIVE blow.  A game against OSU is all that would have stood between MSU and a championship game.

That was similar to BC upsetting Notre Dame in 1993.  Except that actually mattered
My examples are two with YOUR damn team:
You will NEVER convince me that MSU's teams in 1998 and 2015 were better than Ohio State's teams those years.  Worse, Ohio State was good enough in both of those years that but for the losses to MSU, they might well have won the NC*.  Those games were intense from my perspective as a tOSU fan because I KNEW the results would almost certainly matter.  Same situation next year, no big deal because an 11-1 non-Champion Ohio State is an absolute lock for one of the 12 playoff spots.  Sorry not sorry to say it but if there had been a 12-team playoff in either 1998 or 2015 and Ohio State had run into MSU within that playoff (not possible in 1998 because .500 MSU wouldn't have been close) the Buckeyes would have curb stomped MSU in a revenge game on their way to the next round.  

*In 1998 the inaugural BCSNCG ended up being FSU/UT.  Tennessee was obvious because they were undefeated.  FSU was picked from a group of 1-loss teams in large part because their loss was in early September.  That MSU loss in 1998 absolutely cost the Buckeyes an appearance in the first BCSNCG.  

In 2015 MSU got in despite losing to a bad UNL team because they were 12-1 and the B1G Champion.  Ohio State missed out at 11-1 because the loss kept them out of the B1GCG.  

MrNubbz

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #404 on: September 15, 2023, 04:17:56 PM »

My examples are two with YOUR damn team:
You will NEVER convince me that MSU's teams in 1998 and 2015 were better than Ohio State's teams those years.  Worse, Ohio State was good enough in both of those years that but for the losses to MSU, they might well have won the NC*. 
Just win Baby
I'd like to go back to like'95 alignment of Conferences with one caveat . Revenue sharing pertaining to Networx and Gov't grants for all conf. members. The last 10-12 yrs are just BS and will be the undoing of what we came to enjoy in the sport IMHO. Adding Rutgers/Maryland where just a bad fit and too much for the divisions also. If I ever see Big Jim I'll  kick his cajones in if he has any
"I started out with nothing and I still have most of it"

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Rich get richer
« Reply #405 on: September 15, 2023, 04:23:09 PM »
I just know that @MaximumSam is over here saying: 

"Hey, the Playoff is where the party is at! Aren't you excited, Purdue? One year out of 20 we might invite you to the party!!!"

I've seen that one before. 



 

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