Teams with 1st Loss Week 12:
None
Teams with 2nd Loss Week 12:
None
Teams with 1st Win week 12:
Georgia Southern
Percent of Undefeated Teams with 1st Loss
Week 0/1: 36.15% (47/130)
Week 2: 37.35% (31/83)
Week 3: 28.85% (15/52)
Week 4: 35.13% (13/37)
Week 5: 29.17% (7/24)
Week 6: 23.53% (4/17)
Week 7: 38.46% (5/13)
Week 8: 0% (0/8)
Week 9: 37.5% (3/8)
Week 10: 0% (0/5)
Week 11: 20% (1/5)
Week 12: 0% (0/4)
Maximum possible Undefeated Teams at End of the Regular Season:
4: Possible undefeated teams: Alabama, Wisconsin, Miami (FL), and Central Florida
Week 12 Thoughts:
-Our only change for the week on these lists came from the winless column and it was very much a surprise. After starting the year 0-9, Georgia Southern hosted 4-6 South Alabama this week as a 6-point underdog. They won 52-0 removing their name from the list of winless teams in a very impressive first win. That leaves us with just UTEP in the winless column.
-All our undefeated and 1-loss teams won this week, most in rather lopsided match-ups. The toughest was Wisconsin hosting Michigan which allowed them to add a signature win.
-Going into the modern rivalry week (traditional rivalry week would have been this last week, but that’s mostly abandoned now), it appears all the undefeated and 1-loss teams from power 5 conferences control their Rose/Sugar destiny. The only 2-loss team who can probably say the same thing is Auburn. TCU, Ohio State, and USC stand a chance if they win out, but they need help. USC would probably need the most.
-On the Group of 5 side, we are down to 4 teams who appear to have any shot what-so-ever. Those are undefeated Central Florida, 1-loss South Florida, 1-loss Memphis, and 2-loss Boise State. Boise State has the most tenuous position of the group. They are currently only above South Florida and would stand a very high chance of being jumped by South Florida if the Bulls win the next 2. I think the only scenarios where Boise State stands a decent chance left involve Memphis losing this week to East Carolina (and then either winning the American or maybe devaluing a South Florida win just enough). It does not hurt the Broncos if Washington State does well in the next 2 weeks either.
Week 13 Thoughts:
Our undefeated teams play in the following games: undefeated Miami (FL) at Pitt (Friday), 1-loss South Florida at undefeated Central Florida (Friday), undefeated Alabama plays at 2-loss, Auburn, and undefeated Wisconsin plays at Minnesota.
Our other 1-loss teams play in the following: 1-loss Georgia plays at Georgia Tech, East Carolina plays at 1-loss Memphis, 1-loss Oklahoma hosts West Virginia, and 1-loss Clemson plays at South Carolina
Notable 2-loss teams: Baylor plays at 2-loss TCU (Friday), 2-loss Ohio State plays at Michigan, and 2-loss Boise State plays at Fresno State
Winless UTEP closes out the season on the road vs. UAB. They are 20-point underdogs with their final chance at a win.
-Various thoughts on the above:
1. Lots of road games above vs. rivals for the top teams.
2. The UCF/USF game and the Alabama/Auburn ones directly decide who goes to the their respective conference championship games.
3. Alabama will be very likely to make Rose/Sugar Bowl even with a loss this week, so any team hoping to sneak in, needs to root hard for the Tide in this game and then vs. Georgia.
4. Along those same lines, it would help playoff bowl competitors if Miami lost on Friday. That would likely limit the ACC to one spot, while 2 is possible right now.
Remaining Undefeated Teams: ACC: 1, American: 1, Big Ten: 1, SEC: 1, total: 4
Miami (FL)
Wisconsin
Central Florida
Alabama
One-Loss Teams: ACC: 1, American: 2, Big 12: 1, Big Ten: 0, SEC: 1, total: 5
Memphis
Oklahoma
Clemson
South Florida
Georgia
Remaining Winless Teams: Conference USA: 1, Sun Belt: 0, total: 1
UTEP
