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Topic: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #252 on: September 14, 2024, 11:37:32 AM »
The only damning aspect of an NFLization of college football is the rewarding of mediocrity.  You can have divisions under larger conferences, but once we're allowing 2-3-4 loss teams into the playoff, it's broken.

We COULD have NFLesque formatting and only allow elite-outcome seasons in the postseason, but probably won't.

When you have a 9-7 regular season crowned champion in the NFL, it's no longer about competition, it's solely about entertainment and money.

Given the 12-team playoff, we'll have another 2-loss NC, and eventually a 3-loss NC. 
I'm sort of glad UGA lost 1 game to a good team and it cost them a playoff spot last year, because it'll never again happen that way.  They were obviously one of the top 4 teams, but at least their CCG outcome mattered (unlike TCU in '22). 
UGA started this season knowing they could lose twice and be okay.  That's fucked up.  It's broken.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #253 on: September 14, 2024, 11:40:27 AM »
Adding schools in footprint-adjacent states did what now?
Adding the two most valuable schools in one of the P5 conferences immediately put the Big 12 into survival mode. They didn't really have the quality to remain a power conference for very long without TX/OU, and no good expansion options. The SEC basically killed the B12. 

At that point the B1G/P12 could have worked together to kill the B12 and scrape up whatever schools they wanted. Instead the B1G decided to kill the PAC and let the dregs of both conferences figure out the rest. Which is what happened. 

The B12 only survives as a power conference today because the B1G killed the PAC. 

847badgerfan

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #254 on: September 14, 2024, 11:42:35 AM »
Had the Big Ten taken Texas when they wanted in (when the SWC was falling apart), things would look a lot different today. The Big Ten would have probably stayed at 12, even until today.

The Big 8 could have taken on most of the remaining SWC schools and been just fine.

The first nail in the SWC coffin was the SEC taking Arkansas.

SEC started this stuff, and the B1G and SEC finished it together.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #255 on: September 14, 2024, 11:45:45 AM »
So it's the SEC's fault there were 2 blue-bloods in footprint adjacent states and should have turned them down?

Mkay.

From Austin, TX to Columbia, SC, it's 1100 miles.  The entire breadth of the conference now.

From just the easternmost original member OSU (to be extra fair) in Columbus OH, it's 2200 miles to LA.  

Let's not pretend the SEC's additions are even in the same universe as the Big Ten adding west coast schools, please.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

LittlePig

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #256 on: September 14, 2024, 11:56:39 AM »
The new Pac-6 needs to add at least 2 more full time members and ideally needs at least 9 football members to play an 8-game conference schedule.  I can see the new Pac-6 working through it's checklist

1.  Get 2 more programs now for 2026
1-A.  First offer Memphis and Tulane.  If that fails proceed to step 1-B.
1-B.  Focus on state of Texas.  Offer UTSA and UNT.  If that fails proceed to step 1-C.
1-C.  Focus on best remaining programs in the MWC.  Offer UNLV and New Mexico.

2.  Wait 1 year and offer 2 to 6 more programs for 2027.  Candidates include USF,  Memphis, Tulane,  UTSA, UNT, New Mex and UNLV. 

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #257 on: September 14, 2024, 12:29:36 PM »
UTSA would be an interesting one to pair with UNLV. They'd have tentacles in CA and TX. 

I don't think New Mexico is a realistic candidate, nor Wyoming, Air Force, Montana, etc. But then again, what do I know. 


LittlePig

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #258 on: September 14, 2024, 12:52:40 PM »
UTSA would be an interesting one to pair with UNLV. They'd have tentacles in CA and TX.

I don't think New Mexico is a realistic candidate, nor Wyoming, Air Force, Montana, etc. But then again, what do I know.
I know Air Force is a popular candidate on a lot of message boards but AFA wants to get in the same football conference as Army and Navy.  That probably  means if the PAC takes AFA,  then the PAC would have to take Army and Navy football only as well.

Probably an easier option for AFA is just to move to the AAC which already has Army and Navy as football only members.

I would take New Mexico more for it's growth potential, it's basketball resume, and as a geographic bridge to Texas, because they have done nothing in football.

Agree that Wyoming and Montana would not be good options for the new PAC because they are too small in population.  But Montana, Montana St, and Idaho would be good options for a rebuilt MWC.  Maybe even NDSU and SoDSU could join the MWC.

utee94

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #259 on: September 14, 2024, 02:26:35 PM »
Had the Big Ten taken Texas when they wanted in (when the SWC was falling apart), things would look a lot different today. The Big Ten would have probably stayed at 12, even until today.

The Big 8 could have taken on most of the remaining SWC schools and been just fine.

The first nail in the SWC coffin was the SEC taking Arkansas.

SEC started this stuff, and the B1G and SEC finished it together.

I don't think so.  Consolidation was inevitable, it happens in every industry and college football converted from sport to industry the moment the courts found in favor of Georgia and OU in 1984.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #260 on: September 14, 2024, 03:14:30 PM »
The new Pac-6 needs to add at least 2 more full time members and ideally needs at least 9 football members to play an 8-game conference schedule.  I can see the new Pac-6 working through it's checklist

1.  Get 2 more programs now for 2026
1-A.  First offer Memphis and Tulane.  If that fails proceed to step 1-B.
1-B.  Focus on state of Texas.  Offer UTSA and UNT.  If that fails proceed to step 1-C.
1-C.  Focus on best remaining programs in the MWC.  Offer UNLV and New Mexico.

2.  Wait 1 year and offer 2 to 6 more programs for 2027.  Candidates include USF,  Memphis, Tulane,  UTSA, UNT, New Mex and UNLV. 

I don't know what the point is.  
Who cares about a west-coast Conference USA?  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #261 on: September 14, 2024, 04:02:07 PM »
So it's the SEC's fault there were 2 blue-bloods in footprint adjacent states and should have turned them down?

Mkay.

From Austin, TX to Columbia, SC, it's 1100 miles.  The entire breadth of the conference now.

From just the easternmost original member OSU (to be extra fair) in Columbus OH, it's 2200 miles to LA. 

Let's not pretend the SEC's additions are even in the same universe as the Big Ten adding west coast schools, please. 
I'm not saying it's the SEC's fault. The sport is going in a direction towards the biggest names consolidating and going their own way. It would only be a matter of time before the next round of realignment was going to happen.

What I'm saying is that once the move by SEC and TX/OU was announced, the B1G had to act. That doesn't mean it's the SEC's fault that the B1G acted. If the B1G struck first, the SEC would have had to act.

It's eat or be eaten. It's why the Big 12 ever took WVU, WAY outside their footprint. It's why the B1G which doesn't have a geography in its name is now coast to coast, but at the same time the Big TEN has eighteen schools. It's why the Atlantic Coast Conference now has two schools from the Pacific coast. 

The B1G took 4 Pacific coast schools because they were valuable properties, they were vulnerable in the PAC, and they felt they had to act once TX/OU were off the board. They didn't want any other B12 schools. They probably would have preferred to raid the ACC but the GoR is likely too strong. So here we are.

LittlePig

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #262 on: September 14, 2024, 04:05:02 PM »
I don't know what the point is. 
Who cares about a west-coast Conference USA? 
Not saying I agree with the strategy but...

I think the point is to make a conference that will routinely send its champion to the 12-team CFP,  probably most years as the 12th seed.

Also the remaining G5(6) teams, plus Wash St and Ore St,  want to be the next team in,  the next time the P4 expands.  For example,  if Flor St,  Clemson, UNC leave the ACC and the ACC has to backfill,  PAC schools will be in a good position to move up.

Not sure why they couldn't have done the same thing by just merging the MWC and the PAC,  but I guess they have their reasons. 

Gigem

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #263 on: September 14, 2024, 05:08:26 PM »
Yup that was the 6 that were headed over.  Then aTm decided they'd rather look East, Colorado took the bid ASAP because they'd always wanted to go to the PAC anyway, even back in the old Big 8 days, and then ESPN and Fox came up with enough money to keep the B12 competitive.

If that last bit hadn't happened then the 5  plus maybe Baylor would have gone to the PAC.
A&M was NEVER going to be in the PAC. We were wanting to go the SEC when the SWC was dying. We just got delayed by politics for 16 years. 

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #264 on: September 14, 2024, 07:27:56 PM »
I'd add Air Force if they agreed to fly everyone's student athletes around. 

utee94

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Re: Imminent Pac12 breakup, where do the schools go?
« Reply #265 on: September 15, 2024, 09:53:49 AM »
A&M was NEVER going to be in the PAC. We were wanting to go the SEC when the SWC was dying. We just got delayed by politics for 16 years.
Sure, A&M had looked east before.  But A&M was negotiating with the PAC along with the other 5 schools, until your administration decided to put the brakes on it and check and see if there was interest from the SEC.  When they found there was, they dropped talks with the PAC and began talks with the SEC.

It worked out for A&M as it was supposed to, but if the SEC hadn't been interested at that time, then I'd be surprised if the Ags stayed in a dying B12 while Texas and Tech and Baylor and OU headed to the PAC.  It would have been a death sentence for Aggie football with respect to the other powers within the state.

 

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