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Topic: Electric Vehicle News Items

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Cincydawg

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1022 on: November 20, 2023, 10:06:28 AM »
I don't view it as any kind of scam, EVs in general.  I think we're headed in that direction, it's just not NOW, except for the early adopter types.  It's not going to "save the world" from CC of course.  It will eventually cut demand for oil globally, estimates are peak oil usage will be 2030.  That means less demand and perhaps lower prices, though oil producers see it coming also.

Still, the EIA projects half the cars in the US will still be ICE by 2050.  That's probably about right.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1023 on: November 20, 2023, 10:55:23 AM »
great questions for why the Gov would give tax credits for a something
but for me, being selfish.....
What is cheaper to operate  for a 5 year or 10 year period?
Total cost of ownership
Can I save $1000 in 5 years and $2000 in 10 years?
or will it cost me more to operate an EV?
You're gonna have to do the math yourself. Lot of variables:

  • Miles driven/year
  • Whether you buy new or used (I don't think the used EV market is as developed)
  • How long you keep a vehicle; this impacts any potential "repayment" period as well as how mature the used EV market will be at the time you want to move off that car to something else
  • Local gas prices vs local electricity prices, and not your "marginal" kWh value, but also factoring in whether your electric provider offers rebates to EV owners or ToU pricing that will mean you get cheaper rates at the time you're likely charging (overnight)
  • How difficult/pricy it will be to install an L2 home charger; for many they already have sufficient electrical service and the 240V is routed to the garage, but if not it can get expensive

Generally BEVs are cheaper to operate. However whether you'll actually save money would require you to look at specific vehicles and price points you'd be looking into, and whether the operation costs are going to be enough to have a net benefit for your own specific use case. 


betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1024 on: November 20, 2023, 11:09:49 AM »
I think this whole thing is a scam. Sorry.
I think you have to decouple BEVs from the gov't actions around BEVs. 

The people I know with BEVs love them. They don't think they're a scam. 

Many talk about one of the un-heralded advantage of BEVs... If you charge at home, you pretty much never have to think about "fueling" your vehicle. Far from "range anxiety", one Tesla owner was talking about how he was driving his wife's ICEV one day and how annoying it was to get into it and realize 10 minutes into his drive that it was low on gas and he was going to have to fill it just to complete basic errands that day. With a BEV, you get home, plug it in, and it's ready to go the next morning. For most owners, you only have to think about charging if you're taking a road trip. 

On top of that, there are technical advantages. Electric motors offer better low-end torque than gas engines. Power on tap whenever you need it. They're mechanically less complex than gas engines. Regen braking means you wear out brakes less often, and there is generally less scheduled maintenance for a BEV. Batteries are heavy, but because you can make the packs modular it gives you more freedom in where you place weight in a vehicle and usually leads to lower CoG which reduces roll while cornering. 

Are there also downsides? Yes. But BEVs in general are no scam. 

FearlessF

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1025 on: November 20, 2023, 11:10:04 AM »
I obviously have my doubts that an EV can even break even with my own math

I'll sit back and wait until it becomes apparent that I'd be foolish to be driving a gasser

and by 2050 I won't be doing much driving - mostly short trips to doctors and such
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FearlessF

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1026 on: November 20, 2023, 11:11:22 AM »
With a BEV, you get home, plug it in, and it's ready to go the next morning. For most owners, you only have to think about charging if you're taking a road trip.
well, you do need to remember to plug it in
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1027 on: November 20, 2023, 11:19:05 AM »
I obviously have my doubts that an EV can even break even with my own math

I'll sit back and wait until it becomes apparent that I'd be foolish to be driving a gasser

and by 2050 I won't be doing much driving - mostly short trips to doctors and such
Fair enough. As I've mentioned, when I was last looking at a vehicle (2017) there wasn't a suitable EV for my use case (3 row seating for a family) in my price point, and there wasn't sufficient EV infrastructure to do it. And renting, I wasn't going to install an L2 charger in my landlord's house. And I don't like Tesla, so given that they were pretty much the only game in town, it made no sense. 

My next vehicle purchase will probably be around 2027, when kids start leaving the nest. By that time most of my concerns about the EV market will no longer be true. My vehicle needs will have changed so I have more flexibility in what I buy (i.e. no need for three rows). Infrastructure (esp. in CA) will be plentiful, not only for Tesla, but for other brands. Frankly I think it already is. The other brands on the market should have more maturity so I can legitimately avoid Tesla and still have multiple good options. 

Will I ultimately go BEV? I don't know. It'll largely be an economic calculation, and if I'm still working from home most of the time, I won't be putting on enough miles that I think the economics will matter much. If I'm commuting every day, or if I change something job-wise that means my responsibilities require even more driving than that? Well then it might make more sense. 

But I find most people railing against EVs are rolling out tired, old, scare tactics. Being in California and seeing *SO* many of them on the road (and knowing many BEV owners), those tactics don't ring true. 

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1028 on: November 20, 2023, 11:22:53 AM »
well, you do need to remember to plug it in
Yes, but it also depends how much you drive. If you are driving say 50 miles a day on average, you actually may only "need" to plug in once or twice a week. 

FearlessF

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1029 on: November 20, 2023, 11:25:33 AM »
yup, that's why a person may forget.
Just like forgetting to fill up at the gas station

EVs and gassers are very similar - just different fuel

being stranded in a frozen traffic jam in a gasser that runs out of fuel gets just as cold just as fast as an EV that runs out of charge
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847badgerfan

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1030 on: November 20, 2023, 11:37:17 AM »
But I find most people railing against EVs are rolling out tired, old, scare tactics. Being in California and seeing *SO* many of them on the road (and knowing many BEV owners), those tactics don't ring true.
While anecdotal, they are drinking the Kool-Aid IMO.

I know EV owners who wish they weren't. Both here and in Illinois/Wisconsin.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1031 on: November 20, 2023, 11:42:33 AM »
yup, that's why a person may forget.
Just like forgetting to fill up at the gas station

EVs and gassers are very similar - just different fuel

being stranded in a frozen traffic jam in a gasser that runs out of fuel gets just as cold just as fast as an EV that runs out of charge
Ahh. Well if we're arguing about saving people from their own stupidity, it's going to be a LONG discussion in this country. There's a lot of it to go around.

The only time in my life that I've run out of gas was the day that I realized my gas gauge didn't work--it would register 1/4 tank all the way from when the truck had 1/4 tank down to when the tank was empty. That was a malfunction, not forgetfulness.

In fact, since that day I never ran out of gas again--despite the fact that I never fixed the gauge and so the truck never gave me a "low fuel" light on the dashboard. I just had to remember to refill shortly after the gauge reached 1/4 tank, which I unfailingly did.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1032 on: November 20, 2023, 11:50:34 AM »
While anecdotal, they are drinking the Kool-Aid IMO.

I know EV owners who wish they weren't. Both here and in Illinois/Wisconsin.
Perhaps some are drinking the Kool-Aid. IMO Tesla owners can sometimes be as fanatical about the brand as Apple folks. Sometimes when you talk yourself into something (especially given the size of an EV purchase) you become attached and rationalize it instead of admitting you're wrong. And Tesla haters (of which I sorta am one) can be as fanatical the opposite way as Android folks. 

I'm sure IL/WI are well behind CA when it comes to EV infrastructure. And while that might be problematic for Tesla owners, the fact that Tesla is well ahead in infrastructure build-out would mean that it's MUCH more problematic for non-Tesla owners. So that might color the experience somewhat. 

But I would say that 99% of EV criticism I hear comes from people who have never owned an EV (and often vow they never will so you could legitimately call them anti-EV), not from regretful EV owners or former owners. 

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1033 on: November 20, 2023, 12:08:17 PM »
I only know one EV owner.  Wife's ex has a Tesla, which I don't think he uses very much.  He is by most metrics "wealthy" and like much of what he owns, he bought a Tesla because he can, and because he thought it would be cool.  No idea how he likes it, but again, I don't think he uses it much.  If the battery gets damaged and he had to buy another one or just total it and move on, he wouldn't care. 

Thus, in my little sphere, that's who can have an EV.  Sure ain't me. 

When I visit Austin, I see quite a few Teslas on the road.  Of course, there are quite a few wealthy people in Austin, but I suspect not all the drivers I see are wealthy, but rather people who for one reason or another decided that's what they needed.  But I will say that in my experience, many, many, many people don't manage their money wisely and a lot of those people who aren't wealthy, it wouldn't surprise me to learn they shouldn't be driving Teslas, but in a place like Austin you're going to get more people ideologically attached to that whether they can reasonably afford it or not. 

And also, Apple users are a cult, and Android is superior.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1034 on: November 20, 2023, 12:08:34 PM »
"Early adopters" tend usually to be missionaries for their product.  I've talked to a few EV owners and they get a bit over the top, I think, with their praise of it.  The acceleration is often noted as "great", which is nice of course.

We here know the downsides, and apparently GM and Ford and others lose heavily on every one they sell.  Then you have the $7500, which really is a gift to the car makers.  If I lived in CA, I'd be more interested sooner.  But the math really doesn't work well for most of us, and I don't know what insurance is going to end up being.


847badgerfan

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Re: Electric Vehicle News Items
« Reply #1035 on: November 20, 2023, 12:09:09 PM »
I've rented them - Hertz has a push for that. I'd never buy one as the result of my 3 experiences. 3 strikes, ya know?

Last rental I did I hybrid and came away pleased. It was a small Toyota SUV.

This coming rental (in December) will be the same, or equal.
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