Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

LOL.  Blind hog....acorn...you know the drill.  Just the way I see it. 

Unfortunately when it comes to my own team I'm totally blind. 

Back when I was both blogging and paying VERY close attention to college football, I tracked my own results against the spread for a season.

I would pick mostly Big Ten games and then a couple OOC that I thought were interesting. Largely I was looking for games where I thought for whatever reason the spread was wrong. 

However I had two rules. First is although I was picking, I didn't count any results for the first two weeks of the season (and had I been betting, I wouldn't have wagered). That's because of the turnover in CFB you need to wait until you know what you've got. The second was that I wouldn't count any results for a game Purdue or Notre Dame played in, because I didn't believe I could make objective picks because of my fandom and hatred, respectively. 

So yeah, I get the blindness aspect when analyzing your own team. It's like proofreading your own writing; you just get blind to the errors.

Excluding weeks 1-2, and not counting Purdue/ND picks, I picked 62.5% ATS that season. Had I been laying down $100 wagers per game, I would have walked away up $1200 at the end of the regular season IIRC. 

It was a fun exercise, but I realized that for the amount of time and analysis I had to put in, I would have to be wagering a much more uncomfortable amount of money to get enough of a return to make it worth it. 

I can’t even come close to picking college teams as good as I could nfl. For one, the top 25 are always changing. In nfl, yoy usually only have 16 games max with 32 teams. Two teams will usually have an open week, so 15 games per week.

College, only about half the top 25 play any given Saturday. So you may have 20-30 games to pick. And college teams are way more unpredictable.

The difference is that with so many more teams, so many more games, and less betting action (compared to the NFL), there's a lot more opportunity to find an edge. It's not nearly as heavily analyzed or bet as the NFL, so there's opportunity.

IMHO it's like the difference between sitting down at a $2/4 Texas Hold'em table versus sitting down at a $100/200 Texas Hold'em table. You assume the level of play is higher at the latter, and thus you have to expect that you need a bigger edge to end up winning. 

well, when it's 28-0 at the half, some folks flip to a different game

and #2 at 5.6 ain't shabby

MU/UT (2) top 10 teams

NU/CU unranked 

This from SI...................

NBC Sports released data Monday from the network's Week Two broadcast of the Saturday night game between Nebraska and the Colorado Buffaloes. Per NBC, an average of 6.3 millions viewers were recorded during the Huskers' 28-10 victory over CU.

The Nebraska-Colorado contest is the most-watched broadcast to date for the network's

Big Ten Saturday Night series, which made its debut last season. It beat out the October 2023 contest between Ohio State and Wisconsin, which garnered 4.87 million viewers.

If anyone here bets, take Kentucky and the points in what likely will be a rainy slugfest where UGA (hopefully) gets a lead of say 17-3 and sits on it, and the final ends up 23-10.

gee almost like it was a terrible idea not to put the full court recruiting press on Nick Marshall from your backyard Jeem....


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