Kentucky's peak.
The fact that Alabama's most likely loss other than A&M is Texas?!?
The fact that in a worst-case scenario, Florida beats either Utah or FSU.
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This seems to look at last year in a vacuum. Suddenly Arkansas and South Carolina are good to go, as if they weren't utter dumpster fires 1 year ago. Non-helmets tend not to have a positive, linear trajectory to success.
Conversely, the idea that Florida and LSU's peaks are 2 games behind UK's ignores everything pre-2021. While intuitively it shouldn't be true, but programs that have "been there before" tend to get back there more often and more easily than programs that have not. Whether it's down-roster talent level or deep-down expectation level or what, the UKs of the world tend to have a few good years and then regress. The Floridas and LSUs tend to have a few poor years and then improve.
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All that being said, I haven't looked at the schedule-by-schedule outlook for all the teams, but this jus seems to be far too linear and too much recency bias for me.
